http://newsfutures.wordpress.com/2008/01/11/their-finest-hour/ News from the front-lines of the prediction market revolution. Mon, 05 Oct 2009 23:00:52 +0000 http://wordpress.com/ hourly 1 http://newsfutures.wordpress.com/2008/01/11/their-finest-hour/#comment-3171 Alexis Wed, 16 Jan 2008 16:48:14 +0000 http://newsfutures.wordpress.com/2008/01/11/their-finest-hour/#comment-3171 Furthermore, the NH results only concerned NH and not the whole US of A. I wouldn't think Prediction markets were restricted to NH voters. Prediction markets betters from NH were not dominant in the global US prediction market US users. Different population => different results. On the other hand polls were constructed upon NH voters not the whole US population. So the same reason for prediction inaccuracy does not work for polls. Furthermore, the NH results only concerned NH and not the whole US of A. I wouldn’t think Prediction markets were restricted to NH voters. Prediction markets betters from NH were not dominant in the global US prediction market US users. Different population => different results.
On the other hand polls were constructed upon NH voters not the whole US population. So the same reason for prediction inaccuracy does not work for polls.

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